From kenpom.com
Tourney Preview Extravaganza
Here’s a final flurry of log5 analysis dealing with tourneys that start today, except for the ACC, Big XII, and Big Ten which start tomorrow, and the WAC which started yesterday. Major ups to Kevin Haluska for providing me with the spreadsheet I was too lazy to create on my own. And thanks to everyone who has submitted one of these over the past few days.
CUSA…
Qtrs Semis Finals Champ
1 Memphis 100 96.1 92.2 87.5
3 Houston 100 63.1 36.6 3.7
2 UCF 100 60.1 29.6 2.6
5 Tulsa 94.2 59.8 4.1 2.0
6 USM 70.0 29.7 15.0 1.2
10 UTEP 71.1 32.5 14.7 1.2
9 UAB 74.1 3.5 1.9 0.9
4 Tulane 100 39.6 1.7 0.6
7 Rice 28.9 7.4 1.9 0.1
8 Marshall 25.9 0.4 0.1 0.0
11 SMU 30.0 7.2 2.2 0.1
12 ECU 5.8 0.6 0.0 0.0
CUSA is actually improved from last season, but the outcome of the conference tourney is almost pre-determined, especially with it being in Memphis. The Tigers went 16-0 in league play and won 14 by double digits, so these odds don’t seem far-fetched to me. This will be the farewell for Rice’s Morris Almond. Is there anyone in the nation that did more with less of a supporting cast?
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